题目内容
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Futurists claim that we must______.
A．increase the production of literature
B．use' poetry to relieve modem stress
C．develop new modes of expression
D．avoid using adjectives and verbs
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According to the text, the most important for the futurists to grasp is ______.
A．the future world
B．the present world
C．what is happening now
D．the world trends
The job of the futurists is to__________． [A]estimate the frequency of technological developments[B]forecast the significant technologies of the future[C]prepare the potential market for each technology[D]adjust the time of arrival of new technologies
Foresight may reveal potential threats that we can prepare to deal with before they become crises. For instance, a corporate manager with foresight might see an alarming rise in local housing prices that could affect the availability of skilled workers in the region. The public's changing values and priorities, as well as emerging technologies, demographic shifts, economic constraints (or opportunities), and environmental and resource concerns are all parts of the increasingly complex world system in which leaders must lead.
People in government also need foresight to keep systems running smoothly, to plan budgets, and to prevent wars. Government leaders today must deal with a host of new problems emerging from rapid advances in technology.
Even at the community level, foresight is critical: School officials, for example, need foresight to assess numbers of students to accommodate, numbers of teachers to hire, new educational technologies to deploy, and new skills for students (and their teachers) to develop.
Many of the best-known techniques for foresight were developed by government planners, especially in the military, when the post-World War Ⅱ atomic age made it critical to "think about the unthinkable" and prepare for it. Pioneering futurists at the RAND Corporation (the first "think tank") began seriously considering what new technologies might emerge in the future and how these might affect U.S. security. These pioneering futurists at RAND, along with others elsewhere, refined a variety of new ways for thinking about the future.
The futurists recognized that the future world is continuous with the present world, so we can learn a great deal about what may happen in the future by looking systematically at what is happening now. The key thing to watch is not events (sudden developments or one-day occurrences) but trends (long-term ongoing shifts in such things as population. land use, technology, and governmental systems). Using these techniques and many others, futurists now can tell us many things that may happen in the future. Some are nearly certain to happen, such as the continuing expansion in the world's population. Other events are viewed as far less likely, but could be extremely important if they do occur, such as an asteroid colliding with the planet.
Correctly exercising foresight is shown in the case of ______.
A．new products and services
B．an increase in minority populations
C．stocking more foods with ethnic tastes
D．the appealing art museum director
Many observers of contemporary American life believe that we are witnessing a historical change and the first major impact of the shift from an energy economy to an information economy. For 300 years technology has been cast in a mechanical model, one based on the combustion processes that go on inside a star like the sun. The steam engine opened the mechanical age, and it reached its apex with the discovery of nuclear fission and nuclear fusion, which replicated the energy producing processes of a star. We now seem to be moving toward a biological model based on information and involving the intensive use of materials. Although biological processes need physical energy and materials, they tend to substitute information for both. Biological processes "miniaturize" size, energy, and materials by "exploding" information. The human brain is some ten times the size, and weight of the brain of a monkey, but it handles a billion times more information. As a result, high tech industries are information intensive rather than energy or material intensive.
Sociologists have played and will continue to play an important role in assessing and interpreting these developments and other aspects of change.
It can be inferred that underlying the two changes is the change of
A．the instrument of production.
B．the size of the society.
C．the social structure.
D．the economic market.
Some of the computer experiments now going on inspire exciting visions of the future. For example, scientists are working on devices that can electronically perform. some sight and hearing functions, which could make life easier for the blind and deaf. They're also working on artificial arms and legs that respond to the electric impulses produced by the human brain. Scientists hope that some day a person who's lost an arm could still have near-normal brain control over an artificial arm.
Video games, computerized special effects in movies, and real-life training machines now being used by the US Army are causing some people to predict new educational uses for computers. Computers could some day be used to simulate travel to other planets, to explore the ocean floor, or to look inside an atom.
Experiments with electronic banking and shopping inspire predictions that these activities will soon be done from home computer terminals. Cars, too, might be equipped with computers to help drivers find their way around (Honda has one in an experimental car) or to communicate with home and office computers. Many people, including handicapped workers with limited ability to move around, already are working at home using computer terminals. Each terminal is connected to a system at a company's main office. Some futurists say the day may come when few people will have to leave home to go to work -- they'll just turn on a terminal
A growing number of factories such as the General Motors Plant in Newark, Delaware, "hire" computerized robots to perform. tasks such as spot welding. Some executives get a gleam in their eyes as they envision the spread of these "perfect workers" -- no coffee breaks, no strikes, and no vacations or sick days.
These modern and potential computer uses are possible because of the silicon microchip.
These chips, which have become increasingly complex since their beginning in 1959, contain a network of information pathways. Electronic impulses travel along the paths. The plans for a chip look much like a city street plan and can be as large as a football field. It can take as long as three months to complete a new chip design. Chips are used to store information, too. An entire "computer" can be put onto one chip -- called a microprocessor.
As chips become even more complex, easier to make, and less costly, futurists predict limitless possibilities. A group of Japanese scientists is working on a new generation of computers, which they hope will be able to understand vocal instructions, talk back to their users, and automatically try out alternate solutions to a problem to come up with the best answer.
Some people say that the humans of the future will never be without their companion -- computers. Predicting the future can be tricky, of course. In 1948 an IBM study predicted that there would never be enough demand for computers to justify going into the business!
What is the purpose of the passage？
A．To tell the readers what computers will look like in the future.
B．To show the close relations between man and computers.
C．To tell the readers how important silicon microchips are.
D．To talk about the possible future uses of computers.
A．the claim is both ambitious and pessimistic.
B．the claim is more ambitious than pessimistic.
C．the claim is either ambitious and pessimistic
D．the claim is more pessimistic than ambitious.
听力原文： As a professional futurist, Glen Thomson has been listening to the future intently for nearly two decades. We want to welcome him to our program today. Glen is the founder and CEO of Futurist.com. He has been compared to Alvin Toffler for the scope of his vision and to James Burke for his style. of presentation. One of the most respected futurists in the United States, Glen works for enterprises in fields as diverse as transportation, aerospace, energy, telecommunications, financial services, and health care. Prior to going into business, Glen was an award-winning educator, selected Most Influential Professor at Whitworth College. Now Glen is a visiting scholar at the University of Washington. Glen is the co-author of a handbook, Strategic Leadership: Achieving Your Preferred Future, available at Amazon, com. Today Glen is going to stretch his imagination of the future as he discusses fields ranging from science and technology to culture -and society as well as business and economics. Let's welcome Glen Thomson to our program.
What is Glen about to do？
A．Give his usual lecture to his class.
B．Offer his consulting services to a company.
C．Promote his publication.
D．Give a speech.
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